weather international
by MeteoNews AG
A tropical storm is currently forming into a typhoon in the Pacific over the Philippine Sea. It bears the name Bebinca and will become the 6th typhoon of this year. Bebinca is expected to make landfall in China on Sunday, September 15.
Reto Vögeli
A tropical storm has developed from a thunderstorm cluster over the Philippine Sea in the last few hours. The winds are currently peaking at almost 140 km/h, the storm is completely over the sea and currently poses no threat to inhabited areas.
Fig. 1: Current position of tropical storm Bebinca over the Philippine Sea.; Source: UBIMET
The storm will move in a north-westerly direction over the next few hours and days at a speed of just under 30 km/h. It may gradually intensify further. The storm is expected to reach typhoon status as early as tomorrow Friday. It will then be the 6th typhoon of the 2024 season. Typhoons YAGI and SHANSHAN recently made the headlines.
Fig. 2: Forecast track of Typhoon Bebinca; Source: metoc.navy.mil/
From Friday to Sunday, the typhoon moves towards China with further intensification. On Saturday with peak winds of up to almost 200 km/h, it crosses the southernmost islands of Japan, although these are sparsely populated. Bebinca will then hit the Chinese mainland on Sunday. Where exactly the typhoon will make landfall is still uncertain. Most weather models simulate landfall 200 to 300 kilometers south of Shanghai – the largest city in the People’s Republic of China. However, course changes are still possible. Even if, according to current calculations, Shanghai will only be marginally affected by the typhoon, the storm is still expected to cause considerable disruption for several million people, as other large cities are located on the coast south of Shanghai.
It is possible that Typhoon Bebinca could reach maximum wind speeds of over 200 km/h over the East China Sea at the weekend. The landfall is likely to be less, but 150 km/h or slightly more is conceivable in certain coastal areas. Bebinca will also bring a lot of rain, with over 150 mm likely to fall locally in just 24 hours.
Fig. 3: Expected precipitation according to the European weather model.; Source: UBIMET
The content of this article has been at least partially computer translated from another language. Therefore, grammatical errors or inaccuracies are possible. Please note that the original language version of the article should be considered authoritative.
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